Mud and Boulder Flows to Threaten Northwest

Michael Reilly, Discovery News
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Mud Flow Risk
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April 2, 2009 -- In the Pacific Northwest, majestic volcanoes loom ominously close to major populations centers. Though quiescent now, a major eruption could take huge tolls in life and property. But their snowy peaks hold more than just the threat of eruption.

According to a new study, the glaciers on Mt. Hood in Oregon and Mt. Rainier in Washington are melting, and regional rain storms are getting bigger. The change in climate appears to be increasing the risk of large debris flows and massive flooding on rivers that drain the mountains.

"Since 2000, Rainier has lost 15 square kilometers (5.8 square miles) of its glaciers," Anne Nolin of Oregon State University said. Nolin is lead author on a study, which was presented last week at the American Association of Geographers meeting in Las Vegas. "That leaves a lot of loose, unconsolidated material that can be washed away," she said.

A slurry of mud and boulders sometimes as big as cars, the debris rolls like a freight train down the steep mountain slopes, tearing at narrow canyon walls and uprooting huge stands of forest in its path.

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"It's hard to fathom the degree of impact without seeing it," Nolin said. "It's so huge."

This was in stark display in November of 2006, when a massive rainstorm rolled through the region. Filled with warm moisture, the storm dropped heavy rain instead of snow, initiating massive debris flows on Hood and Rainier that caused $30 million in damages to roads, bridges, and farming infrastructure.

This is increasingly common. So-called "pineapple express" storms that develop in the tropics are hammering the region. Their warmth means rock-scouring rain falls instead of snow, which would normally pile peacefully on top of the glaciers.

Nolin said it's still too soon to say for sure whether or not climate change is leading to more -- and more intense -- debris flows. And for now the Rainier events only affect areas within the national park that surrounds the volcano.


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