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Volcano 'Poses Tsunami Threat' in Caribbean

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April 21, 2009 -- Tsunami waves unleashed by the collapse of an unstable volcano on the Caribbean island of Dominica would hit the highly populated coast of nearby Guadeloupe within minutes, according to a new study.

"It's not a case of 'if' this landslide and tsunami will happen, but 'when'," lead researcher Richard Teeuw, a geologist at the University of Portsmouth, said in a statement on Tuesday.

"The trigger will probably be a major earthquake, occurring after the heavy rain and coastal erosion of the hurricane season. It could happen in a hundred years or it could happen next week."

Up to 30,000 residents and tourists along the coast of Guadeloupe, a French territory 30 miles north of Dominica, would have almost no time to seek higher ground, according to the study.

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A million-ton chunk of rock from the unstable volcano, called Devil's Peak, is poised to crash into the sea, and would produce tsunami waves up to 10 feet high, the geologists calculated.

Such a landslide could also weaken an additional three million tons of rock up-slope, potentially resulting in larger waves of up to 16 feet.

The result would likely be severe property damage and possible loss of life, according to the study, published in the newsletter of the American Geophysical Union.


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