Doomsday Comet Less Likely, Calculations Show

Emily Sohn, Discovery News
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A second run of the model showed that the most powerful comet shower of the last 500 million years might have caused a minor extinction event about 40 million years ago. But collisions could not have been responsible for any major extinction events in that time.

"The occurrence of these comet showers is much less frequent than people previously argued," said Hal Levison, a planetary scientist at the Southwest Research Institute in Boulder. The inner Oort cloud, he added, is "not as massive as people who want to use it as an extinction-generator would argue needs to be there."

Looking forward, the chance of comet impacts in our lifetime just went from none to even less.

"I'm not a big fan of worrying about impacts on the Earth now," Levison said. "Our society has more important things to worry about."


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